Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.043429 0.047292 0.051204 0.055455 0.059938 0.064518 0.069544
2025-07-20 0.036881 0.042519 0.048440 0.055094 0.062339 0.069961 0.078563
2025-07-27 0.032594 0.039525 0.047036 0.055722 0.065427 0.075882 0.087938
2025-08-03 0.029628 0.037586 0.046454 0.056960 0.068959 0.082135 0.097595
2025-08-10 0.025325 0.033699 0.043305 0.054969 0.068583 0.083815 0.101987
2025-08-17 0.022525 0.031304 0.041639 0.054462 0.069711 0.087043 0.108006
2025-08-24 0.020122 0.029172 0.040094 0.053924 0.070654 0.089942 0.113561
2025-08-31 0.019067 0.028615 0.040373 0.055502 0.074050 0.095670 0.122394
2025-09-07 0.017906 0.027818 0.040269 0.056543 0.076750 0.100550 0.130230
2025-09-14 0.016709 0.026876 0.039901 0.057187 0.078918 0.104767 0.137272
2025-09-21 0.015427 0.025720 0.039179 0.057315 0.080395 0.108119 0.143263
2025-09-28 0.014819 0.025444 0.039566 0.058832 0.083587 0.113549 0.151770
2025-10-05 0.013432 0.024007 0.038375 0.058295 0.084218 0.115905 0.156655
2025-10-12 0.012400 0.023010 0.037722 0.058423 0.085669 0.119266 0.162780
2025-10-19 0.011714 0.022473 0.037662 0.059309 0.088078 0.123815 0.170380
2025-10-26 0.011247 0.022235 0.037996 0.060710 0.091151 0.129210 0.179055
2025-11-02 0.009776 0.020327 0.035868 0.058680 0.089671 0.128815 0.180500
2025-11-09 0.008876 0.019257 0.034888 0.058174 0.090155 0.130880 0.184998
2025-11-16 0.008042 0.018228 0.033909 0.057621 0.090539 0.132791 0.189288
2025-11-23 0.007837 0.018247 0.034492 0.059276 0.093902 0.138553 0.198477
2025-11-30 0.007505 0.018021 0.034687 0.060365 0.096497 0.143333 0.206441
2025-12-07 0.007098 0.017630 0.034604 0.061040 0.098521 0.147371 0.213475
2025-12-14 0.006597 0.017031 0.034166 0.061174 0.099786 0.150413 0.219239